Crypto Weekly
April 7, 2023

CBDC’s under fire, Microstrategy doubles down… again, and another Doge pump

MicroStrategy bought another $23M worth of Bitcoin this week as Binance observed stablecoin outflow due to regulatory issues. Meanwhile Pancakeswap launched v3 alongside Axie Infinity's Ronin blockchain expanding to new game studios. On the world stage we saw the UK and India discuss crypto regulation while CBDC’s came under fire in the US. Finally Swiss gov-backed banks granted crypto capabilities to its 2.5M users right as ETH broke out of its most recent price range.

  • MicroStrategy buys $23M worth of Bitcoin as Binance observes stablecoin outflow
  • Pancakeswap launches v3, Axie Infinity's Ronin blockchain expands new game studios
  • UK and India discuss crypto regulation as CBDC’s come under fire
  • Swiss Government-Owned Bank grants 2.5 million users crypto capabilities
  • BTC attracts new investors, ETH prices surge, crypto philanthropy expected to hit $10B by 2032.

Movers and Shakers

Top 7-Day Gainers:
  1. INJ +24.96%
  2. ENJ +21.12%
  3. BAT +14.40%
  4. FXS +14.13%
  5. LDO +11.23%

Top 7-Day Losers:
  1. MASK -15.81%
  2. ARB -11.23%
  3. CFX -10.54%
  4. STX -10.37%
  5. HBAR -8.13%

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Bitcoin Pulse

Bitcoin price hovered sideways this week as we saw the US Government is set to sell over 40k Bitcoin in 2023 after seizing them from Silk Road hacker James Zhong. Investor demand is also rebounding resulting in crypto funds' Bitcoin holdings rising but that's not all Bitcoin mining sustainability has reached a new all-time high, which means fewer gas emissions. And finally, we're seeing more and more "wholecoiner" addresses, with close to 1 million holding more than 1 bitcoin – double the number from 2016.

Bitcoin micro

tl/dr:

  • The market is experiencing highs and lows without establishing a clear trend.
  • This accumulative price action suggests orders are being built for liquidity.
  • We could see an aggressive, high-volatility move soon, indicating market commitment.
  • Price may reach a minimum range of $28,600 to $29,000 or break out further if it breaks the 1H 50 EMA resistance.

The LTFs tell the HTF story beautifully, with continued highs and lows being raided on both sides of the market as price fails to establish a trend in either direction, typical of accumulative price action to build orders for liquidity. 

It would not be unreasonable to see an aggressive, high-volatility move happen shortly, pushing price in one direction and showing us commitment by market participants.

As price is currently sitting around the equilibrium with the 1H 50 EMA acting as resistance, a break and retest to the upside could signal price reaching the minimum $28600-$29,000 range or breaking out further. 

Bitcoin Macro

tl/dr:

  • Sideways price action continues as buy and sell orders build up.
  • 50 EMA on daily chart could provide key support soon, with 200 EMA lagging behind.
  • Possibility of short-term raiding of $26,400 price low and mitigation of bullish order block at 50 EMA support.
  • Alternatively, we may push higher towards $32k price high before deeper sell-offs.

This week saw continued sideways price action typical of accumulation phases, as buy and sell orders continued to be built on either side of the market, building liquidity to fuel the next directional move. 

On the HTF, the 50 EMA on the daily chart is fast approaching, a key area of potential support inbound, while the 200 EMA is still lagging much further behind. 

In the coming weeks, we could see a short-term raiding of the $26,400 price low coinciding with 1D sell-side liquidity and mitigation of the bullish order block at equilibrium alongside 50 EMA support. 

Alternatively, we could push higher once again, getting closer to the $32k previous price high before seeing deeper sell-offs ensue. 

Altcoins on the move

ETH prices surged this week as ETH network's Total Value Locked (TVL) surged to a staggering 5.91M ETH, with over half of staked ETH operating at a loss. This signals less selling pressure, which is fantastic news for ETH holders ahead of the upcoming Shapella upgrade. Plus, the ETH Market Value to Realized Value (MKRV) ratio has reached a 10-month high, and the number of non-zero addresses has hit an all-time high of 96,879,333! To top it off, the ETH fear and greed index has hit "Greed."

ETH macro

tl/dr:

  • ETH has diverged from BTC and reached a price high of $1942 this week.
  • A healthy retracement to the $1730 price range is expected.
  • Daily 50 EMA support would be found in the $1730 price range.
  • A raid on 1D sell-side liquidity to find support at the 200 EMA is also a potential scenario.

ETH this week has diverged from BTC, broken out to the upside, and reached a price high of $1942. After doing so price mitigated the extreme bearish order block, where we would expect some form of healthy retracement to take place. 

Moving forward, there is a high potential for a price retracement to the $1730 price range, where daily 50 EMA support would be found alongside reaching the current daily price range's discounted prices. After that, a raid on 1D sell-side liquidity to find support at the 200 EMA could also be a potential scenario.

Bitcoin Pulse

Bitcoin price hovered sideways this week as we saw the US Government is set to sell over 40k Bitcoin in 2023 after seizing them from Silk Road hacker James Zhong. Investor demand is also rebounding resulting in crypto funds' Bitcoin holdings rising but that's not all Bitcoin mining sustainability has reached a new all-time high, which means fewer gas emissions. And finally, we're seeing more and more "wholecoiner" addresses, with close to 1 million holding more than 1 bitcoin – double the number from 2016.

Bitcoin micro

tl/dr:

  • The market is experiencing highs and lows without establishing a clear trend.
  • This accumulative price action suggests orders are being built for liquidity.
  • We could see an aggressive, high-volatility move soon, indicating market commitment.
  • Price may reach a minimum range of $28,600 to $29,000 or break out further if it breaks the 1H 50 EMA resistance.

The LTFs tell the HTF story beautifully, with continued highs and lows being raided on both sides of the market as price fails to establish a trend in either direction, typical of accumulative price action to build orders for liquidity. 

It would not be unreasonable to see an aggressive, high-volatility move happen shortly, pushing price in one direction and showing us commitment by market participants.

As price is currently sitting around the equilibrium with the 1H 50 EMA acting as resistance, a break and retest to the upside could signal price reaching the minimum $28600-$29,000 range or breaking out further. 

Bitcoin Macro

tl/dr:

  • Sideways price action continues as buy and sell orders build up.
  • 50 EMA on daily chart could provide key support soon, with 200 EMA lagging behind.
  • Possibility of short-term raiding of $26,400 price low and mitigation of bullish order block at 50 EMA support.
  • Alternatively, we may push higher towards $32k price high before deeper sell-offs.

This week saw continued sideways price action typical of accumulation phases, as buy and sell orders continued to be built on either side of the market, building liquidity to fuel the next directional move. 

On the HTF, the 50 EMA on the daily chart is fast approaching, a key area of potential support inbound, while the 200 EMA is still lagging much further behind. 

In the coming weeks, we could see a short-term raiding of the $26,400 price low coinciding with 1D sell-side liquidity and mitigation of the bullish order block at equilibrium alongside 50 EMA support. 

Alternatively, we could push higher once again, getting closer to the $32k previous price high before seeing deeper sell-offs ensue. 

Altcoins on the move

ETH prices surged this week as ETH network's Total Value Locked (TVL) surged to a staggering 5.91M ETH, with over half of staked ETH operating at a loss. This signals less selling pressure, which is fantastic news for ETH holders ahead of the upcoming Shapella upgrade. Plus, the ETH Market Value to Realized Value (MKRV) ratio has reached a 10-month high, and the number of non-zero addresses has hit an all-time high of 96,879,333! To top it off, the ETH fear and greed index has hit "Greed."

ETH macro

tl/dr:

  • ETH has diverged from BTC and reached a price high of $1942 this week.
  • A healthy retracement to the $1730 price range is expected.
  • Daily 50 EMA support would be found in the $1730 price range.
  • A raid on 1D sell-side liquidity to find support at the 200 EMA is also a potential scenario.

ETH this week has diverged from BTC, broken out to the upside, and reached a price high of $1942. After doing so price mitigated the extreme bearish order block, where we would expect some form of healthy retracement to take place. 

Moving forward, there is a high potential for a price retracement to the $1730 price range, where daily 50 EMA support would be found alongside reaching the current daily price range's discounted prices. After that, a raid on 1D sell-side liquidity to find support at the 200 EMA could also be a potential scenario.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article is for general market education and commentary and is not intended to serve as financial, investment, or any other type of advice.

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